Groc's: The Grocery Store

A farmer is selling fruits and vegetables next to the grocery store:

Considering this rather low support count (in regards to the 10K aim), I tried to see how I was doing compared to other projects, so here is my analysis:

I took the supports counts of the 33 ending soonest projects. I admit the sample is too small to be accurate enough, but this gives a good idea.

So, the results are:

Average final supports count: 944

Median value: 436

So, what do we learn here?

Or, if we split the data like this:

we could consider these 4 categories (this is a subjective interpretation):

And so, at the end, it shows that my idea is a not good enough and below the average one, which is what I was trying to determine.

PS: I really have to make an IP/non-IP comparative analysis, but for this, I need more data. So we'll keep this for later.

PPS: Also, please note that these numbers do not include ideas having achieved support (because they are not ending soon). Including them would probably skew the results a little more.

Yes, this is the end.

You may have seen the update on my latest submission.

I try to apply the same method here to see if it is right or not.

So, let's go:

This is the daily support reported by Lego Ideas.

This leads us to:

The raw cumulated support for the first 40 days is in blue and the orange curve is an approximation using the following function:

Extrapolated to 500 days, this gives a final support count of about 250, which is slightly under the actual count.

So, if we try to do the same thing but skip the first 10 days, this gives:

where the final count is still slightly underestimated but a little closer to the actual value.

OK, so, what's the point?

I don't know.

This is Pizzburg:

Rebuilding the city:

So here it is, made with real bricks:

This is Pizzburg:

Statistics are funny on the first day: I should reach the first milestone in 1970...

Too bad I wasn't event born to see that: